The Bank of England have warned that mortgage rationing is likely to become worse over the next few months.
The Bank of England’s quarterly lending activity survey has highlighted mortgage lenders concerns over house prices and the current economic climate. Lenders are also facing higher funding costs as a result of the eurozone debt crisis. The Bank warned that it is likely that these concerns will force many lenders to tighten up their credit scoring criteria for assessing whether to lend to a prospective house buyer or not.
A tightening of credit scoring criteria is likely to see even more high loan to value mortgages disappear, leaving first time house buyers in a much more difficult position.
Since the beginning of the international banking crisis in 2007, mortgages have become increasingly difficult for people to obtain. The old 120% or 130% mortgages vanished, leaving people needing to find bigger and bigger deposits in order to buy a house. Many new borrowers now have to find at least 20% or 25% of a property’s value before becoming eligible for a mortgage.
As a result, fewer first time buyers have been able to enter the property market, fewer homes have been sold and prices have fallen, leaving the property market in a state of stagnation.
In the report on credit conditions in the UK, the Bank Of England indicated that the availability of credit was falling and lenders expect it to continue over the next quarter. They suggest that any increase in borrowing will only be to those people who can afford a large deposit.
The Bank of England indicated that lenders had also revised their expectations for people’s levels of disposable income. Many household will find their budgets squeezed as wages fail to keep up with inflation, leaving little room for some people to afford more debt.
The survey did suggest that many lenders were now looking at new and innovative deals to help those who have smaller deposits and facing difficulties in getting a mortgage.
Separate figures from the Bank of England have recently shown that there has been little change to the numbers of approved mortgages, that have not yet been completed. The figures reveal that this level is currently half what it was before the international banking crisis began.
The Bank of England also suggested that the demand for buy to let mortgages, which had been rising in the last quarter of 2011, is also likely to fall back over the next few months.
The credit report did indicate that there had been improvements on the rates that people had been defaulting on their loans, both secured and unsecured. The Bank indicated that they also expect this to continue.
However, companies are also now borrowing less, with lenders suggesting that their ability to lend to companies during the next quarter is unlikely to change. The report showed that medium to large sized companies had also been defaulting on their existing loans more.


New figures from the British Bankers’ Association suggest that the rising cost of living in the UK is affecting the amount British people are able to save and causing some families to dip into savings accounts for their day to day expenses. They also report a slowing in the rate of approvals for new mortgages.